As Europe’s spending on defense rises, Moody's explores the interconnected risks for the public and private sector supply chains, and opportunities for innovation and economic growth.
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Seven companies we rate defaulted last month, matching December’s tally and the one in January 2025. January's count is lower than the monthly average of 11 over the last five years.
The cooling labor market is creating financial pressure for asset-backed security sponsors. Strong backup arrangements and loan oversight will help narrow ABS vulnerability to sponsor-tied risk.
A recently imposed US visa fee will increase operating expenses and slow services export growth. But IT companies’ robust financial positions and US skill gaps will temper negative credit effects.
A rise in redemptions at US perpetual non-traded BDCs reflects investor concerns around asset quality, valuations and net investment income, but equity inflows continue to outpace share repurchases.
As AI adoption accelerates, the largest companies are innovating. But smaller and more highly levered retailers are struggling to keep up, with limited capital and technological means to adapt.
Power companies will need to invest around AUD15 billion to meet the surging power needs of data centers over the next 10 years, with much of the growth in state-designated renewable energy zones.
Social considerations pose very high or high credit risk to 21 sectors with about $7.9 trillion in rated debt, a slight increase from $7.7 trillion in rated debt in 2023.
Measures to boost economic resilience and competitiveness help counter external risks, but weak revenue and rising interest costs will slow deficit consolidation and limit the pace of debt reduction.
Relatively high conventional mortgage rates will support the competitiveness of the agencies’ low-interest-rate loan products in 2026, but a softer economy will push delinquencies slightly higher.
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